Asia Session
Today’s Asia session saw most currency traders once again favor riskier assets. With no top tier data released during the session to act as a catalyst for the markets, Forex traders helped most of the JPY crosses catch a bid from their lows. After a fast move lower by nearly 60 pips to start the session, bargain hunters took advantage of a depressed EURJPY. Bids rushed in and helped the high yielder gain back its losses and then some, dealing 90+ pips from the lows toward the
11/3/2008 - the current market sentiment
ECB President Trichet comments that he was concerned by excessive moves in foreign exchange and excessive volatility and disorderly forex movements are undesirable. He mentioned too that US strong dollar policy is in US interest. The comments could tackle the single currency appreciation at the beginning of the week which is still containing a lot of waited data to move the currency market. It is important to watch today’s ZEW for further European growth clues after the better than expected
All trades associated with risk to deteriorate
Carry Trades and stocks especially in danger. Fixed Income and precious metals and energy apparently the only safe havens. Overnight News Bullets AU Trade Balance (Jan) -2723M vs -2550M exp. JN Leading economic Index 30.% vs 30.0% exp. SZ Unemployment Rate (Feb) 2.7% VS 2.8% exp. UK HBOS Plc house prices sa (MoM) -0.3% vs -0,2% exp. GE Factory orders YoY (Jan) 9.5% vs 9.9% GE Factory orders MoM (Jan) -1.5% vs -0.4% UK BOE leaves Rates unchanged at 5.25% as expected. ECB leaves Rates unchanged
Dollar slide to record lows against Euro and Swiss franc as ECB is not seen cutting rate anytime soon
News and Events: The US Dollar tumbled to record lows against the Euro and the Swiss franc on Thursday after the European Central Bank downplayed prospects of an interest rate cut and did not voice concerns about the rally in the Euro. Analysts said there had been some anticipation that ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet would comment on the Euro after remarks this week by euro zone finance ministers group chairman Jean-Claude Juncker that the common currency was overvalued. News that US home
Dollars falls as ECB leave rates unchanged
The dollar fell for a fifth day in a row as the European Central Bank left interest rates at 4% to tackle inflation. Speculation among traders spread as they increased bets the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by 75 basis points. “The dollar’s weakness is extraordinary,” Stephen Jen, head of currency research in London at Morgan Stanley, the second-largest U.S. securities firm, wrote in a research note. “The recent sell-off in the dollar is both definitive and justified by economic
U.S. Forex Market Commentary
EURO The euro gained marginal ground vis- -vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.5405 level and was supported around the $1.5310 level. The common currency established a new lifetime high on Friday before coming off and has been rangebound today, hemmed in by comments from European Central Bank President Trichet who indicated he is concerned about ?present excessive foreign exchange market moves.? Most traders do not expect central banks to
Shares fall further whilst oil trades at a record high. German ZEW survey out today
Shares fall further whilst oil trades at a record high. German ZEW survey out today U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was mixed against a number of currencies on Monday as traders once again looked towards stock prices as a measure of market stability. Reports were circulating that Bear Stearns were faced with liquidity problems (albeit unconfirmed) pushed shares down by 11%, dragging share markets lower with growing concerns on the health of the Financial Sector. In U.S. share markets the NASDAQ was
Ex-Bank of England Governor Lord George described the credit crunch
Overview A scary week as belatedly many are trying to face up to the grim reality that is the financial mess we are in. All, even us, because although we have seen this coming and taken appropriate steps, this is mere damage limitation and we will not get through things unscathed. The problems: no money, no cheap money; massive credit risk and the threat of default/bankruptcy; expensive raw materials and a crashing US dollar; allegedly well-run firms discovering all sorts of unexpected nasties
Stagflation, writedowns, risk-aversion, sell-offs, unwinding
Another day at markets… Overnight News Bullets NO Industrial Prod. Manufacturing MoM/YoY (Jan) out at 2.8%2.6% vs. 1.5%/-1.2% expected. Prior at -2.6%/-2.3% GE Industrial Production MoM/YoY (Jan) out at 1.8%/6.9% vs. 0-3%/4.6% expected. Prior at 1.5%/4.9%. E-Z OECD Leading Indicators (Jan) out at 97.9 vs. 98.0 prior. CA Unemployment Rate/Change in Empl. (Feb) at 5.8%/43.3K vs. 5.9%/3.0K expected. Prior at 5.8%/46.4K US Change in NFP (Feb) out at -63K vs. 23K expected. Prior at -22K. US
Daily Market Outlook
********************************************************** Market Review - 0 7/03/2008 22:26 GMT Euro and Japanese yen rallies to multi-year highs on weak U.S. jobs data before retreating The greenback dropped initially against major currencies on Friday after a government report showed the U.S. unexpectedly lost jobs for a second consecutive month in February, however, investors took profits on recent short-dollar positions ahead of the weekend and on Fed’s liquidity-easing move.
Recent Comments