The Forex Pro

About “The Mathematics of the Fibonacci Series”
Author: Ron Knott: Description: Patterns in the Fibonacci Numbers (Cycles, Factors); The Fibonacci Numbers in Pascal’s Triangle (Why do the Diagonals sum to Fibonacci numbers?

Asia Session
Today’s Asia session saw most currency traders once again favor riskier assets.  With no top tier data released during the session to act as a catalyst for the markets, Forex traders helped most of the JPY crosses catch a bid from their lows.  After a fast move lower by nearly 60 pips to start the session, bargain hunters took advantage of a depressed EURJPY.  Bids rushed in and helped the high yielder gain back its losses and then some, dealing 90+ pips from the lows toward the

11/3/2008 - the current market sentiment
ECB President Trichet comments that he was concerned by excessive moves in foreign exchange and excessive volatility and disorderly forex movements are undesirable. He mentioned too that US strong dollar policy is in US interest. The comments could tackle the single currency appreciation at the beginning of the week which is still containing a lot of waited data to move the currency market. It is important to watch today’s ZEW for further European growth clues after the better than expected

All trades associated with risk to deteriorate
Carry Trades and stocks especially in danger. Fixed Income and precious metals and energy apparently the only safe havens. Overnight News Bullets AU Trade Balance (Jan) -2723M vs -2550M exp. JN Leading economic Index 30.% vs 30.0% exp. SZ Unemployment Rate (Feb) 2.7% VS 2.8% exp. UK HBOS Plc house prices sa (MoM) -0.3% vs -0,2% exp. GE Factory orders YoY (Jan) 9.5% vs 9.9% GE Factory orders MoM (Jan) -1.5% vs -0.4% UK BOE leaves Rates unchanged at 5.25% as expected. ECB leaves Rates unchanged

Dollar slide to record lows against Euro and Swiss franc as ECB is not seen cutting rate anytime soon
News and Events: The US Dollar tumbled to record lows against the Euro and the Swiss franc on Thursday after the European Central Bank downplayed prospects of an interest rate cut and did not voice concerns about the rally in the Euro. Analysts said there had been some anticipation that ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet would comment on the Euro after remarks this week by euro zone finance ministers group chairman Jean-Claude Juncker that the common currency was overvalued. News that US home

Dollars falls as ECB leave rates unchanged
The dollar fell for a fifth day in a row as the European Central Bank left interest rates at 4% to tackle inflation. Speculation among traders spread as they increased bets the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by 75 basis points. “The dollar’s weakness is extraordinary,” Stephen Jen, head of currency research in London at Morgan Stanley, the second-largest U.S. securities firm, wrote in a research note. “The recent sell-off in the dollar is both definitive and justified by economic

U.S. Forex Market Commentary
EURO The euro gained marginal ground vis- -vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.5405 level and was supported around the $1.5310 level.  The common currency established a new lifetime high on Friday before coming off and has been rangebound today, hemmed in by comments from European Central Bank President Trichet who indicated he is concerned about ?present excessive foreign exchange market moves.? Most traders do not expect central banks to

Shares fall further whilst oil trades at a record high. German ZEW survey out today
Shares fall further whilst oil trades at a record high. German ZEW survey out today U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was mixed against a number of currencies on Monday as traders once again looked towards stock prices as a measure of market stability. Reports were circulating that Bear Stearns were faced with liquidity problems (albeit unconfirmed) pushed shares down by 11%, dragging share markets lower with growing concerns on the health of the Financial Sector. In U.S. share markets the NASDAQ was

Ex-Bank of England Governor Lord George described the credit crunch
Overview A scary week as belatedly many are trying to face up to the grim reality that is the financial mess we are in. All, even us, because although we have seen this coming and taken appropriate steps, this is mere damage limitation and we will not get through things unscathed. The problems: no money, no cheap money; massive credit risk and the threat of default/bankruptcy; expensive raw materials and a crashing US dollar; allegedly well-run firms discovering all sorts of unexpected nasties

Stagflation, writedowns, risk-aversion, sell-offs, unwinding
Another day at markets… Overnight News Bullets NO Industrial Prod. Manufacturing MoM/YoY (Jan) out at 2.8%2.6% vs. 1.5%/-1.2% expected. Prior at -2.6%/-2.3% GE Industrial Production MoM/YoY (Jan) out at 1.8%/6.9% vs. 0-3%/4.6% expected. Prior at 1.5%/4.9%. E-Z OECD Leading Indicators (Jan) out at 97.9 vs. 98.0 prior. CA Unemployment Rate/Change in Empl. (Feb) at 5.8%/43.3K vs. 5.9%/3.0K expected. Prior at 5.8%/46.4K US Change in NFP (Feb) out at -63K vs. 23K expected. Prior at -22K. US

Daily Market Outlook
********************************************************** Market Review - 0 7/03/2008 22:26 GMT Euro and Japanese yen rallies to multi-year highs on weak U.S. jobs data before retreating The greenback dropped initially against major currencies on Friday after a government report showed the U.S. unexpectedly lost jobs for a second consecutive month in February, however, investors took profits on recent short-dollar positions ahead of the weekend and on Fed’s liquidity-easing move.  

Relative Vigor Index Technical Indicators, Technical Analysis
The main point of Relative Vigor Index Technical Indicator (RVI) is that on the bull market the closing price is, as a rule, higher, than the opening price. It is the other The

Barchart.com - Relative Strength Index
Barchart.com Inc. is the leading provider of intraday stock and commodities realtime or delayed charts with powerful indicators and technical analysis. Search for stocks

Investor/RT Tour - Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Formula . . . . . . more on Formulas : RSI = 100 - 100 / (1 + RS) RS = AG / AL AG = Average Gain over RSI Period Gain = Price - Price.x (when

relative strength Definition
relative strength - definition of relative strength - A stock’s price change over a period of time relative to that of a market index, such as the S&P 500. The relative strength of

Please Read if New to Forex Trading - Page 4 - DailyFX Forum
Secret news weapon? I also opened an account with Oanda but I’ve heard that they do not like news traders anymore. Some pointers would be appreciated

Forex News Trading Forum
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‘Market could rebound ahead of budget’
Economic Times - shares such as Infosys Technologies, Wipro, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) and Satyam Computer ADRs are on the way to recovery, as most of these stocks already have tested their lower bottoms and breached their 10-day exponential moving averages

Stocks: Any Relief Will Be Brief
BusinessWeek - For the first time since 2002, the 17-week exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed below (very minor) the 43-week EMA Besides chart resistance, there are a host of moving averages and downward sloping trendlines that sit in this range. Once

Analysis indicates China’s stocks could fall much farther
International Herald Tribune - MACD, which measures the index’s momentum through the difference between its 12- and 26-month exponential moving averages, is close to dropping below the nine-month exponential moving average for the first time since August 2004. Market drops of seven

2008 Sector Outlook: Health Care
BusinessWeek - Prices are sitting in between the 17-week and 43-week exponential moving averages . The sector’s relative strength vs. the S&P 500 has broken out to the upside, but remains in a long-term downtrend. This recent outperformance has more to do with the

Weekly Trading lesson: Buying New Highs and Selling New Lows
DailyFx - Simple Moving Averages versus Exponential Moving Averages Dec 11 - Weekly Trading Lesson: Moving Average Crossovers Dec 04 - Weekly Trading Lesson: End of Year Trend Changes. Nov 26 - Weekly Trading Lesson: Market Orders, Stop Orders and Limit Orders

Auto Tesla Roadster Gets Federal Approval, Production Starts March 17
DailyTech - Tesla Motors’ Roadster has been in development for quite some time now , but it appears that there is finally light at the end of the tunnel for the project team. Malcolm Powell, Tesla Motors’ Vice President of Vehicle Integration, announced

Currency Majors Technical Analysis
FXStreet.com - 1,5308. EUR USD is in an uptrend supported by 1H exponential moving averages. The volatility is high. Bollinger bands are parallel and form the trend. ForexTrend 1H, 4H, daily (Mataf Trend Indicator) is in a bullish configuration. 4H ForexSto

Currency Majors Technical Analysis
FXStreet.com - 1,5395. EUR USD is in an uptrend supported by 1H exponential moving averages. The price is just bellow 1,5400 resistance. The volatility is high. Bollinger bands are parallel and form the trend. ForexTrend 1H, 4H, daily (Mataf Trend Indicator) is in

Recent Recommended Trades
*************************************************** Update Time:     06 Mar 2008 23:39GMT WEEKLY OUTLOOK ON USD/CHF - +1.0220+ Dlr’s MT downtrend has resumed in part due to active cross buying in chf n further weakness twds 1.0200/10 is seen but o/sold condition shud limit downside to 1.0130/40 n risk has increased for a much-needed corrective rebound to take place later this week. Sell on recovery with stop abv 1.0495 (prev. sup) as break wud signal temp. low is made n risk

Daily FX Report
Good morning from wonderful Hamburg and welcome to Varengold?s Daily FX Report. The letters of the day are T G I F thanks god it?s Friday. The week was declaredly very stressful with all the decisions about interest rates and speeches of all the powerful guys that leads to all these record highs and lows. Markets review The EUR/USD hits new record high at 1,5396 yesterday as the ECB downplays prospects of an interest rate cut. Against the CHF the USD touched a record low too at 1,0210 and a

Matsys D Trade Signals
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Dollar slide to record lows against Euro and Swiss franc as ECB is not seen cutting rate anytime soon
News and Events: The US Dollar tumbled to record lows against the Euro and the Swiss franc on Thursday after the European Central Bank downplayed prospects of an interest rate cut and did not voice concerns about the rally in the Euro. Analysts said there had been some anticipation that ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet would comment on the Euro after remarks this week by euro zone finance ministers group chairman Jean-Claude Juncker that the common currency was overvalued. News that US home

The Dollar continued with its free fall against most major currencies
? The Rupee ended weaker today as rising levels of global risk aversion led to a capital outflow. Dollar demand by importers further added to the downward pressure on the currency. The USD/INR pair ended at 40.53 from 40.30 on Wednesday ? The 6- month forward rate was at a 0.33% premium as compared to 0.14% discount on Wednesday while the 1-year forward rate was at 0.48% premium from 0.23% on Wednesday ? The Dollar continued with its free fall against most major currencies, on expectations of

Shares in Carlyle Capital Corporation, Dutch-listed affiliate of private equity Carlyle Group, suspended
Quote: ?Of the names that tried to stay on the Forbes 400 wealthiest Americans list over a 21-year period, less than 15% succeeded?. Steve Forbes (1947-) The News: Shares in Carlyle Capital Corporation, Dutch-listed affiliate of private equity Carlyle Group, suspended. The Numbers: Greenwich Mean Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets. 00:30 US Fed?s Rosengren speaks on risk management, Chicago. 01:00 US Fed?s Poole speaks on finance at the University of Illinois,

Dollars falls as ECB leave rates unchanged
The dollar fell for a fifth day in a row as the European Central Bank left interest rates at 4% to tackle inflation. Speculation among traders spread as they increased bets the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by 75 basis points. “The dollar’s weakness is extraordinary,” Stephen Jen, head of currency research in London at Morgan Stanley, the second-largest U.S. securities firm, wrote in a research note. “The recent sell-off in the dollar is both definitive and justified by economic

Action Bias Summary Table

Fresh Round of Currency Speculations (reloaded, again)
All bets - introduced by my latest FXstreet.com notes - are still on. However, I’m watching the markets involved even more closely - the precious metals markets, in particular - in the wake of terrific volatility seen this week.

Breakpoint Trades - Education
General Information: Elliot Wave theory is an outgrowth of the original technical market analysis of Dow Theory. The Elliott Wave Theory is named after Ralph Nelson Elliott.

Elliot-Wave
Elliot-Wave. Elliott Wave Analysis Applying the Elliott Wave Theory to forecast financial markets behavior. Free quotes, charts, latest news. Elliott wave FORUM.

Elliot Wave Principle
Elliot Wave Principle Wave Principle 175 Dow Theory 177 The “Kondratieff Wave” Economic Cycle

Fibonacci and Elliot Wave and Currency Trading Success
Elliot Wave Theory. The theory was named after Elliott himself, who concluded in his book “nature’s law” that: The movement of financial markets could be predicted by observing, and

USD/JPY: One month high for the Dollar
FXStreet.com - Dollar Yen reached a one month high last week, however, according to Cornelius Luca, economist at Global Forex Trading, the cross remains mixed: Mixed trading should continue. The key level early this week is at 107.95 from a 50-point pivot

EURUSD at pivot point as very positive US trade balance report unable
FXStreet.com - Home :: Technical :: Forex Strategy :: Forex Trading Strategies Send Print Add To Rss Forex Trading Strategies EURUSD at pivot point as very positive US trade balance report unable to support the USD yesterday Fri, Feb 15 2008, 07:48 GMT by John

Dollar slide on six consecutive days with concerns over US economic
FXStreet.com - Home :: Technical :: Market View :: Daily Forex News Send Print Add To Rss Daily Forex News Dollar slide on six consecutive days Psychological 1.5000 level marks strong support before 1.4500 pivot point. Initial resistance hold 1.5229 Thursday high. GbpUsd

Dollar slips as investors are worried about further economy slowdown
FXStreet.com - Home :: Technical :: Market View :: Daily Forex News Send Print Add To Rss Daily Forex News Dollar slips as investors are worried EurUsd Market confirmed the recent strength over 1.4500 pivot point recovering from 7th February 1.4440 low. Medium term trading

EUR/JPY Daily Technical Forex
FXStreet.com - Current level at 10:39 CET is 160.27, trading below the daily pivot point level of 160.72, having found resistance at the Fibonacci 61.8 percent retracement level of 161.50, measured overe the 169.04 - 149.27 range. We are now trading between the 55

Buffett Savior Or Vulture?
FXStreet.com - Home :: Technical :: Market View :: Wakeup Call on Forex Markets Send Print Add To Rss Wakeup Call on Forex Markets Buffett Savior Today, the quarterly inflation report will be key for GBP at 10.30 GMT. We sell the break of 1.9560 offer (daily Pivot Point

USD/JPY: Three-year low for the Dollar
FXStreet.com - FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The Dollar tumbled further against the Yen yesterday, Cornelius Luca, economist at Global Forex Strong resistance is at 104.50 from a 50-point pivot that targets 104.00 and 105.00. Below 103.30, support is still seen at 103

FOREX-Euro slides after Trichet’s growth comments
Reuters - FOREX-Euro slides after Trichet’s growth comments We’re at a bit of a pivot point in the euro here, and if we can get and stay below the $1.4520 area, I think that could open the

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WebGet - Asynchronous Downloading v.3 - Forex Trading
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Australian January retail sales soft
Australian retail sales were surprisingly subdued in January as higher petrol and borrowing costs took a toll, perhaps suggesting that an interest rate rise expected later on Tuesday could be the last for a while. Australia’s current account blew out to a record on rising imports, so that net trade looked to have taken a hefty 1.0 % point off GDP. Public spending beat forecasts but analysts were still likely to trim growth forecasts for Q4. Gold nears USD 1,000 Gold closed up on Monday after

A Year-End Financial Checkup of Households
A Year-End Financial Checkup of Households The Fed published Flow of Funds data for the fourth quarter of 2007 today. A preliminary reading of data indicates no improvement in the already well known fact that households in the U.S. have a shaky financial status. Notwithstanding this status, spending of households has made a substantial contribution to GDP growth in the current cycle. This is old news. Will households continue to spend? Our prediction is that consumer spending will take a back

ISM Manufacturing Survey ? Factory Sector Failed to Grow in February
ISM Manufacturing Survey ? Factory Sector Failed to Grow in February The ISM manufacturing survey for February shows a factory sector contracting in February after a temporary improvement in January. The ISM survey results confirm the message we have seen in the other regional factory surveys of the month. The Purchasing Managers? Index fell to 48.3 in February, following readings for 48.4 and 50.7 reading in December and January, respectively. Readings below 50.0 denote a contracting factory

Treasuries vs. the CRB
From 1980 until the spring of 2002, 10-year Treasury note yields held a positive correlation with the CRB index. Since 2002, however, there has been a dramatic divergence between Treasury yields and commodity prices. This trend is unsustainable in the long term because bond yields must eventually reflect rising inflationary pressures and at some point offer a positive real after-tax return. There can be only two possible conclusions reached when viewing this disparity, shown in the chart

US: Non-manufacturing ISM rebounds
The ADP employment report showed a decline of 23 000 private jobs in February, following a revised 119 000 increase in January, earlier reported as a 126 000 increase. The outcome fell short of the consensus estimate for a rise by 15 000. If one translate the result to the BLS payrolls, the latter should show a small, about 15 000 rise in BLS payrolls, slightly (but statistically irrelevant) softer than the current estimate of about 25 000. We shouldn?t lose out of sight that the BLS and ADP

U.S Market Update
- U.S. Indices are maintaining a downward trajectory with financials and tech still leading the way. Rumors of write downs both here and abroad continue to circulate while the Dubai International CEO said he expects another capital injection for Citigroup in order to survive. Merrill Lynch cut numbers in several financials highlighted by Citigroup which trades at a ten-year low. Tech was sideswiped by Intel when the Company lowered their Q1 gross margin guidance by 200 basis points citing

Emerging markets to rescue the world economy, again
Why the emerging markets are so important Global economic growth last year was 4.7%, maintaining the extremely strong pace of the last four years. The main impetus for that growth came from the emerging markets. Growth in the US was just 2.2% and 2% in Japan, the first and second largest economies in the world, respectively. With consensus forecasts for 2008 suggesting that these two economies will expand at an even slower pace, 1.6% in the US and 1.4% for Japan, the question is what will